Skip to Content
Streetsblog New York City home
Streetsblog New York City home
Log In
Bicycle Infrastructure

Study: N’East Pollution Pact Will Save Black and Brown New Yorkers and Cut Health Costs

What we get when we subsidize cars: More of them.

New Yorkers know in their lungs that getting out of polluting cars and onto bikes and mass transit will promote public health and help save the climate and lives in our region — especially in communities of color, which suffer the worst air pollution.

Now we have proof.

A new study of the Transportation and Climate Initiative, which binds Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic states to cut carbon-dioxide emissions from transportation by as much as a quarter by 2032, found that it would lead to much cleaner air and healthier communities, especially in New York State.

The initiative — which is to be finalized in a memorandum of understanding later this year — could lead to a reduction of as many as 1,100 pollution-related deaths and 4,700 childhood asthma cases annually up and down the East Coast, as well as provide $11.1 billion in health benefits, public-health researchers at Harvard, Columbia and some other universities found. 

The preliminary study (it still must face peer review) looked at progressive scenarios of pollution curbs and investments in improved mass transit, active-transportation infrastructure and clean electric vehicles, and concluded that the initiative could save more than 500 lives and prevent 1,700 childhood asthma cases annually in New York alone. Those benefits would especially accrue to Black and other communities of color — which are disproportionately affected by pollution and asthma. Per a 2019 Union of Concerned Scientists study, “on average, communities of color in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic breathe 66 percent more air pollution from vehicles than White residents.”

By reducing air pollution, we can avoid deaths in these areas, the study found. Map credit: M. Raifman, P. Kinney. Based on Raifman et al.
By reducing air pollution, we can avoid deaths in these areas, the study found. Map credit: M. Raifman, P. Kinney. Based on Raifman et al.
By reducing air pollution, we can avoid deaths in these areas, the study found. Map credit: M. Raifman, P. Kinney. Based on Raifman et al.

NY for TCI, a public-interest campaign, hailed the study.

“An equitable and sustainable TCI program offers New York a once in a generation opportunity to transform our state’s transportation to make it healthier, more equitable, sustainable, affordable, and accessible,” the group said in a statement. “Today’s study shows a well-designed TCI program would clean up our air, lower dangerous air pollution from transportation vehicles across the state, and save lives by giving New Yorkers better, cleaner, healthier transportation options."

The study found that the health benefits of the proposed climate-mitigation policies would more than offset any estimated program costs, and that the benefits would occur in every county in the region, whether urban or rural.

" TCI is a powerful tool in our arsenal to combat health issues caused by air pollution and climate change for all New Yorkers, but in particular, New Yorkers facing the worst health outcomes including asthma and premature death," Lauren Bailey, director of climate policy for the Tri-State Transportation Campaign, said. "The savings in healthcare costs show the real story: Poor air quality's medical implications are a medical and financial emergency for our most vulnerable residents."

Pollution takes a heavy toll on health and life on the East Coast, the study said, with on-road emissions in the region contributing to an estimated 10,000 premature deaths from air pollution in 2016.

“The largest number of estimated premature deaths occurred in New York (2,930), Pennsylvania (1,760), and New Jersey (1,640)," the study reported.

Of course, business groups fret that the TCI would hamper economic growth by raising gasoline prices. But raising gas prices long has correlated with better health outcomes, by clearing the air, reducing road deaths and in encouraging more active transportation that helps curb obesity.

The TCI participants include 12 states (Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont and Virginia) and the District of Columbia.

Stay in touch

Sign up for our free newsletter

More from Streetsblog New York City

Streetsies 2025 (And Friday Video!): Vote for Your Favorite Clips of the Year

A New York Met, the birth of "No Kings," and Cuomo running a stop sign are just some of the best things we caught on camera this year.

December 26, 2025

Memo to Mamdani: Support the QueensLink for Better Mass Transit

The Rockaways needs the transit benefits of QueensLink. Our contributor hopes the new mayor puts his weight behind the concept.

December 26, 2025

How Mamdani Can Deliver a Bigger Dream for Buses

To truly upgrade the New York City's bus system, the Mamdani administration needs to think even bigger than "fast and free."

December 26, 2025

Streetsies 2025: The Worst From Albany

Albany had its fair share of screw ups in 2025. Take a gander at the worst to come out of state government this year.

December 26, 2025

Streetsies 2025: The Best from Albany

It's that time of year again! Albany often disappoints, but state officials got a few things right, we guess...

December 26, 2025

Friday’s Headlines: Boxing Day Edition

Yesterday was Christmas, but we still have a full news digest for you today.

December 26, 2025
See all posts