Skip to Content
Streetsblog New York City home
Streetsblog New York City home
Log In
Car Dependence

Auto Industry Analyst Predicts Decline of the Two-Car Household

Image: KPMG
With fleets of vehicles for "mobility services" replacing personal vehicles, KPMG predicts that the total number of cars on American roads could start to decline. Image: KPMG
false

Bailey Mareu, 30, and her husband were looking for ways to save money after she left her job to help run the family business in Lawrence, Kansas, two years ago.

So they decided to downsize from two cars to one. The Mareus were both working from home most days, and they were just a mile-and-a-half walk from the shops and restaurants of downtown Lawrence.

"It just kind of made sense financially," said Mareu. "We decided to sell my car because it has the higher loan amount on it."

What Mareu and her husband did might be the wave of the future, according to the automotive division of consulting giant KPMG. While predicting continued global growth in car sales as countries like India and China become more affluent, KPMG's recent white paper about trends affecting the car industry [PDF] sees different forces at work in the United States.

In the U.S., says KPMG, car sharing companies like Zipcar, on-demand car services like Uber, and even bike-share will eat away at the percentage of households owning multiple vehicles, especially in major cities. Today, 57 percent of American households have two or more vehicles. KPMG's Gary Silberg told CNBC that the share of two-car households could decrease to 43 percent by 2040.

In this scenario, KPMG predicts that the rise of "mobility services" will displace car ownership by providing similar mobility but without the fixed costs. The typical new car now costs $31,000 but sits idle 95 percent of the time. Given other options, Silberg told CNBC, many Americans will be happy to avoid that burden.

Other contributing factors flagged by KPMG include increasing urbanization, telecommuting, changing travel preferences among younger generations, and growing traffic congestion in big metro areas.

Stay in touch

Sign up for our free newsletter

More from Streetsblog New York City

Mamdani’s FDNY Spews Anti-Street Safety Talking Points at Bizarre Council Hearing

FDNY and DOT were at cross-purposes during a bikelash Council hearing.

February 26, 2026

Trump Dragnet That Stopped 34th St. Busway Is Holding Up Tremont Avenue, Too

A contentious Manhattan busway is causing trouble in the Bronx.

February 26, 2026

NEVER MIND: Bus Service Tanked After January Snowstorm, So MTA Nixed The Data

The January storm and days of below-freezing temperatures that followed left New York City bus riders in the lurch, the MTA said.

February 26, 2026

Thursday’s Headlines: Beyond Snowballs Edition

Tomorrow it could be rocks. Plus other news.

February 26, 2026

Judge Blocks City From Implementing 15 MPH Bike Speed Limit In Central Park

It's an indication that opponents of this "illegal application" of the so-called "Sammy's Law" may prevail on the merits at an upcoming full hearing.

February 25, 2026

Study: Most Of America’s Paint-Only Bike Paths Are On Our Deadliest Roads

Even worse, most Americans see these terrible lanes and think, "I'd be crazy to ride a bike" — and the cycle continues.

February 25, 2026
See all posts