Skip to Content
Streetsblog New York City home
Streetsblog New York City home
Log In
Streetsblog

Why Do Sidewalks Predict Whom We’ll Vote For?

He's being called the "other winner" in this election: Nate Silver, the New York Times' poll analyst extraordinaire, once again correctly predicted the winner in every state.

false

This morning, though, we're more interested in another insight he tweeted a few months ago: "Heuristic: if a place has sidewalks, it votes Democratic. Otherwise, it votes Republican."

Bill Lindeke at Streets.mn says there's something to it:

It’s something I’ve heard before. Bill Bishop’s fascinating book points to the deep connection between urban form and political affiliation. Central cities are overwhelmingly Democratic. In exurbia, it’s the exact opposite.

One of the key reasons why our political experience is marked by incredulity is because of this spatial division. And sidewalks may just be the most obvious sign of this gap. More than anything else, sidewalks can predict your vote, what kind of political values you have.

What is it about sidewalks that make them a political litmus test? Do they symbolize something fundamental? Do they attract liberals like flypaper? Do sidewalks foster empathy and understanding? Which came first, the sidewalk or the egghead?

The question Lindeke asks is whether left-leaning people self-segregate into walkable areas, or if urban areas produce liberals. Another option: Sidewalks tend to make sense in places where other factors -- like, say, demographics -- explain political preferences for Democrats.

Elsewhere on the Network today: Grid Chicago says Obama's reelection will be good news for biking and walking. BikeWalkLee reports the Florida Department of Transportation has done it again: built a six-lane highway through a neighborhood. And Portland Afoot explains how several local votes yesterday may affect the future of the Columbia River Crossing mega-project.

Stay in touch

Sign up for our free newsletter

More from Streetsblog New York City

Brooklyn Residents: Keep Historic Wood Bridge For Pedestrians And Cyclists Only!

As the Department of Transportation is set to reopen the Carroll Street Bridge, locals want it to only reopen to pedestrians and cyclists.

March 17, 2026

Tuesday’s Headlines: We Love A Parade (For Pedestrians) Edition

Organizers of today's St. Patrick's Parade are telling everyone to leave their cars at home. Plus other news.

March 17, 2026

Mamdani Uses ‘Sammy’s Law’ To Reduce Speed Limits To 15 MPH At Schools, But Broader Implementation Is Stalled

By the end of this year, 800 more streets in front of public school buildings will get 15-mile-per-hour speed limits, bringing the citywide total to 1,300. It's a start.

Amazon Owes Nearly $10M Unpaid Fines for Idling in New York City

The online retail giant owes more than any other other company issued fines through the city's Citizens Air Complaint Program.

March 16, 2026

Mamdani Administration Wants To Allow A Brooklyn Hospital To Issue Parking Tickets

Could parking tickets be written by someone other than NYPD traffic agents and cops? Time will tell if this is a good idea or not.

March 16, 2026

Bus Companies Say There’s a Better Way to Take a ‘Great American Road Trip’ This Summer

As Americans start planning their summer vacations, the country’s largest inter-city bus operator is challenging them to leave their cars at home.

March 16, 2026
See all posts