Skip to Content
Streetsblog New York City home
Streetsblog New York City home
Log In
Streetsblog

Why Do Sidewalks Predict Whom We’ll Vote For?

He's being called the "other winner" in this election: Nate Silver, the New York Times' poll analyst extraordinaire, once again correctly predicted the winner in every state.

false

This morning, though, we're more interested in another insight he tweeted a few months ago: "Heuristic: if a place has sidewalks, it votes Democratic. Otherwise, it votes Republican."

Bill Lindeke at Streets.mn says there's something to it:

It’s something I’ve heard before. Bill Bishop’s fascinating book points to the deep connection between urban form and political affiliation. Central cities are overwhelmingly Democratic. In exurbia, it’s the exact opposite.

One of the key reasons why our political experience is marked by incredulity is because of this spatial division. And sidewalks may just be the most obvious sign of this gap. More than anything else, sidewalks can predict your vote, what kind of political values you have.

What is it about sidewalks that make them a political litmus test? Do they symbolize something fundamental? Do they attract liberals like flypaper? Do sidewalks foster empathy and understanding? Which came first, the sidewalk or the egghead?

The question Lindeke asks is whether left-leaning people self-segregate into walkable areas, or if urban areas produce liberals. Another option: Sidewalks tend to make sense in places where other factors -- like, say, demographics -- explain political preferences for Democrats.

Elsewhere on the Network today: Grid Chicago says Obama's reelection will be good news for biking and walking. BikeWalkLee reports the Florida Department of Transportation has done it again: built a six-lane highway through a neighborhood. And Portland Afoot explains how several local votes yesterday may affect the future of the Columbia River Crossing mega-project.

Stay in touch

Sign up for our free newsletter

More from Streetsblog New York City

Cyclist: Cop Pulled a Taser During Summons Chase

In a dramatic escalation of the NYPD's criminal crackdown on bike riders, a police officer pulled a stun gun while chasing a cyclist for allegedly running a red light on a regular bike.

May 30, 2025

Albany Pols Seize the Helm(et)

Helmet laws remain controversial — they're the "common-sense" approach pushed by lawmakers who ignore that studies show they don't improve safety.

May 30, 2025

Tisch Reveals Real Reason for Her E-Bike Crackdown: E-Bike Licensing

NYPD Commissioner Jessica Tisch doubles down on her cycling criminalization campaign, saying e-bike licensing is the only other option.

May 30, 2025

Friday’s Headlines: A ‘Critical’ Moment Edition

Cyclists will protest against the NYPD's bike crackdown with a Critical Mass ride to City Hall on Friday. Plus more news.

May 30, 2025

Eyes on the Street: Astoria’s Big Beautiful 31st Avenue Bike Boulevard

Streetsblog paid a visit to New York City's widest on-street protected bike lane ever, which is up and running in Astoria.

May 30, 2025
See all posts